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Table B.13

Expanded estimated uncertainties Δexpanded for the decay heat, taking into account the main calculation biases for isotopic concentrations from Table B.11 and calculated uncertainties from Table B.12. ΔCmax come from the nuclear data library leading to the highest nuclear data uncertainty (either ENDF/B-VIII.0, JEFF-3.3 or JENDL-4.0). Three combination methods are presented: RSSuc, RSSU (being equal to RSSuc for 1σ), and SUMU.

Cooling Decay Bias due to Bias RSSuc SUMU
time heat 106Rh 134Cs 244Cm 137Cs 241Am 240Pu 239Pu 243Am 242Pu 234U Sum ΔCmax Δexpanded Δexpanded
(years) (W/t) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%) (%)
0.1 57 154 +34 -0.3 +0.2 +34 1.5 ± 34 [+0, −35]
0.2 44 028 +46 -0.4 +0.4 +46 1.8 ± 46 [+0, −48]
0.5 28 246 +55 -0.6 +0.5 +55 2.3 ± 55 [+0, −57]
1 17 309 +65 -0.8 +0.9 +65 3.1 ± 65 [+0, −68]
3 6 327 +60 -1.0 +2.0 -0.1 -0.1 +61 4.5 ± 61 [+0, −66]
5 4 333 +17 -0.8 +3.0 -0.3 −0.3 +0.2 +19 4.1 ± 19 [+0, −23]
7 3 706 −0.5 +3.1 −0.3 −0.5 +0.2 +4.0 3.5 ± 5.3 [+0, −7.5]
10 3 318 −0.2 +3.3 −0.3 −0.6 +0.2 +0.1 +2.5 3.3 ± 4.1 [+0.8, -5.8]
30 2 375 +2.1 −0.3 −1.0 +0.3 +0.2 +1.3 2.5 ± 2.8 [+1.2, -3.8]
50 1 874 +1.2 −0.2 −2.1 +0.4 +0.2 −0.5 2.1 ± 2.2 [+2.6, -1.6]
70 1 563 +0.5 −0.1 −2.5 +0.5 +0.3 −1.3 2.1 ± 2.5 [+3.4, -0.8]
100 1 281 +0.2 −0.1 −3.0 +0.6 +0.3 −2.0 2.2 ± 3.0 [+4.2, -0.2]
300 710 −3.6 +0.9 +0.5 −2.2 2.4 ± 3.2 [+4.6, -0.2]
500 512 −3.8 +1.5 +0.8 −0.1 −1.6 2.3 ± 2.8 [+3.9, -0.7]
1 000 285 −3.0 +2.5 +1.4 −0.2 +0.7 1.7 ± 1.8 [+1.0, -2.4]
5 000 83 +5.6 +4.3 −0.6 +9.3 1.7 ± 9.4 [+0, -11]
10 000 56 +4.8 +5.6 −0.5 +0.1 +10 1.6 ± 10 [+0, -12]
50 000 9.1 +0.4 +11 −0.1 +0.5 −0.2 +12 2.1 ± 12 [+0, -14]
100 000 3.4 +6.9 +1.2 −0.4 +7.7 2.0 ± 7.9 [+0, -9.7]

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